A Nice Friday but Unsettled Pattern Continues

12:03 PM, Oct 4, 2012   |    comments
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It's raining, the leaves are turning and last night I spent $24.95 on a styrofoam tombstone, skull goblet and fake spider web...it must be October.

Today: Drizzle will transition to a more steady rain as a cold front approaches the state. Low level moisture is already plentiful (hence the clouds/drizzle) so moderate rain will overspread the state from west to east through the remainder of the afternoon. There could be a few heavier downpours as well, although not many are showing up on the upstream doppler radar picture over New Hampshire and Vermont. Temperatures will stay in the upper 50s and low 60s, and actually drop off a bit as the precipitation increases in intensity.

Tonight: Periods of moderate rain will continue through around 10 PM over southern and western Maine but last through 1 AM over Downeast Maine as the front pushes offshore. After midnight-1 AM skies will gradually go from cloudy to partly cloudy. Widespread fog is likely in the morning hours as that low level moisture hangs on a bit.

Friday: Morning fog and some low level cloud cover may linger over the Midcoast and Downeast through mid-morning but drier air will quickly push in. A mixture of sun and clouds will result statewide through the rest of the day and temperatures will respond nicely into the low to mid 70s. It will feel like a bit of a late summer throw back as dew point readings will be relatively high, removing the "crisp fall air" feeling.

Now onto the weekend. I don't LOVE this forecast but it'll definitely be better than last weekend #settingthebarlow.

Saturday: Some early sunshine is possible but I'm not overly optimistic as another cold front will be racing towards Maine. The tricky thing is; the front has very minimal precipitation associated with it until the daylight heating sparks some instability. SO, I'm thinking mostly cloudy with a few breaks of sun through around 11 AM, and then a chance of showers that increases as you head west. If you are in the mountains showers will be LIKELY by noon, but along the coastline showers should hold off until 2 PM etc etc. The shower activity doesn't look super heavy but it might be enough to ruin outdoor plans after noon.

Sunday: The cold front from Saturday barely clears the coast on Saturday night. As a result some of the low level moisture is hanging around the coastline on Sunday. Look for partly sunny skies for the most part with mostly cloudy conditions over Downeast Maine (closer to the stalled frontal boundary). Conditions rapidly fall apart by late afternoon as a closed low pressure system develops along the stalled cold front to our east. That will bring a round of moderate to heavy rain into the state by late afternoon over southern Maine and early evening over central and northern Maine.

Rain could be heavy at times on Sunday night before clearing begins Monday morning. At this point Columbus Day looks like an early shower over northern and central Maine, followed by afternoon sunshine and gusty winds.

By the way, we get CHILLY starting on Sunday afternoon as the jetstream dives south of New England. Look for overnight lows to drop into the low 30s by Sunday night and there is the CHANCE of a few flakes flying in the mountains during the early morning hours of Columbus Day. After that, I don't see us breaking 62 F for a high temperature though Wednesday.

By the way, in case you can't tell, I go a little overboard with the Halloween thing. I currently live in a condo but once I own a house with a yard I'll totally be THAT guy who constructs what appears to be a themed amusement park ride in the front lawn. As it stands I was trying to figure out a way to put THIS in our condo hallway without giving our 67 year old neighbors a heart attack.




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