Quiet Monday, Light snow over extreme southern Maine for Christmas Day

8:30 PM, Dec 23, 2012   |    comments
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Well that was an annoying Patriots game.

I hate watching mismatches in which the only acceptable outcome is for the Patriots to win by 65 while simultaneously making the opposing team wet their spandex pants.

Anyhow, pretty quiet in the weather department for the next 24 hours then our attention turns to a little light snow on Christmas day and a MUCH larger storm for Thursday.

Tonight: Mostly clear for most of the state, the exception will be the mountains. They will remain mostly cloudy and see a few snow showers, particularly close the New Hampshire border as a weak disturbance swings through. Low temperatures will range from the teens in the mountains to the low 20s along the immediate coastline.

Monday: With high pressure in control I expect a quiet and pleasant day. Look for mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the upper 20s to the west and mid 30s across southern Maine (average stuff really).

Christmas Eve: Becoming cloudy, 30% of light snow over southern Maine after midnight, 100% chance I get coal.

Christmas: The weak little storm for Christmas has become even weaker and further south via the latest computer data. As a result look for some off and on light snow from Portland, west into North Conway and points south...otherwise just a few flurries and mostly cloudy skies for the rest of the state. Those areas that DO see light snow will begin in the early morning hours and continue into the early afternoon, but it will only add up to a dusting to 1". I don't foresee any travel problems from this small accumulation. High temperatures will be very similar to Monday, 28 to 33 F.

Wednesday will start off mostly sunny but clouds will increase by the afternoon as a large storm system spins towards Maine....

OK see you later!

Ugh, fine.

The models have trended colder with this system over the past 24 hours but it's STILL not an ideal Nor'easter. If you take a "compromise" between the GFS and the EURO, it brings the center of the storm over Albany, NY and then directly over Portland. Now if you've lived in Maine for any extended period of time, you know that's too far west for a classic snowstorm. (You really want to see the low pass to the southeast of Nantucket) If this track holds everyone would start with snow Wednesday night but the coastline would change to rain by Thursday morning and the rain/snow line would stall out somewhere over western Maine.

Still a TON of time for the computer models to change, but I hold my opinion still that this system looks a bit warm...a bit inside. The mountains will likely get pounded again though, so that's good news.

I'm off until Thursday, so I technically don't have to deal with this storm. But...I'm a huge nerd, so follow me on Twitter (@KeithCarsonWCSH) and I'll keep you up to date. If you don't like social media (or maybe you don't like me) stick with Kevin and Jessica for the latest over the next few days!

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